Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 80th percentile for three-point ability while on the road with a a very good 40.2% rate this year.
Kevin Durant has attempted 6.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
As it relates to threes, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 39.2% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road ranks 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Kevin Durant will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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