Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 37.3% clip, Kevin Durant's 3-point efficiency has jumped this year to 48.7%.
Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.
With respect to threes, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 39.2% rate of converted threes while on the road comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
Kevin Durant stands to see a spike in performance for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 28.7% on three-pointers (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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