Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 82nd percentile for 3-point prowess with the home court advantage with a an exceptional 41.3% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Kevin Durant will likely see a rise in production across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.2 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
When playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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