Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 80th percentile for threes hit while on his home court, compiling 1.8 per game since the start of last season.
Kevin Durant has averaged 35.8 minutes per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one for threes; when the Detroit Pistons are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most threes per game in the league since the start of last season (2.2).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 6 games when playing at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Suns check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Detroit Pistons have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant ought to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.