Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has successfully made 1.9 threes per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.

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