Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 7, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has sunk 2.0 threes per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has averaged 36.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for threes; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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