Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 4.2 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this standard in recent games: 88th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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