Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 5.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 90th percentile.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
Kevin Durant will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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