Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has totaled 5.5 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns.
Kevin Durant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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