Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has put up 5.7 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
Kevin Durant stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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