Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 3:20 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.7 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 95th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant comes in at the 94th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, their opposition has grabbed 12.6 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (retaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
Kevin Durant ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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