Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 37.1 minutes per game this year.
Relative to last season's 0.2 rate, Kevin Durant's technical fouls have regressed this season to 0.1 per game.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 6thworst in in the league when playing at home with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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