Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.6 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 94th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.0 minutes per game this year.
Kevin Durant has committed a measly 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.2 technicals per game last year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Suns.

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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