Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 5.8 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 94th percentile.
Kevin Durant has played 37.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant rates in the 96th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has come down with 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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