Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.8 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent games: 94th percentile.
Kevin Durant has tallied 37.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Suns have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (97th percentile).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production across the board.

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