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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kevin Durant has put up 5.6 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent days: 93rd percentile.
  • Kevin Durant has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
  • While playing at home, the Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kevin Durant has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
  • The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • Kevin Durant will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.

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