Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.7 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this standard in recent games: 94th percentile.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Kevin Durant stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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