Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Kevin Durant has averaged 37.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (90th percentile).
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Suns.
Kevin Durant should see a decline in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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