Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch of games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 36.8 minutes per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Kevin Durant stands to experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.

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