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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Assists
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has put up 5.5 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 93rd percentile.

Kevin Durant has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kevin Durant figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kevin Durant has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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