Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has put up 7.6 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.9 higher than he's put up overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.6 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.
Kevin Durant is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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