Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 6.6 assists per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
Kevin Durant has tallied 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Kevin Durant has tallied a lowly 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 0.2 technicals per game last season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Knicks (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).
Kevin Durant should see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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