Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 7.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year.
Kevin Durant has committed just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.2 technicals per game last year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have captured 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant stands to see a rise in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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