Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Suns.
The Suns have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have brought down 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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