Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has been on the court for 41.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has tallied a measly 5.1 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.5 assists per game last season.
Kevin Durant has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
Kevin Durant will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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