Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has posted 6.8 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's posted overall this season at home.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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