Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
Kevin Durant has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has put up just 5.1 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 6.5 assists per game last season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns.
When playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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