Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-144/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has averaged 5.2 assists per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
Kevin Durant has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court, which should lead to increased plays for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kevin Durant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.

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