Kevin Durant Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Kevin Durant

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Durant

F · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Durant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Durant has tallied 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
Kevin Durant has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
While playing at home, the Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kevin Durant has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
Kevin Durant will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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