Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to threes, the Nets's outstanding 13.9 made threes per game while on the road settles in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 21.8 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).
Keon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keon Johnson ranks in the 11th percentile for shooting proficiency with a poor 35.5% rate this year.
Keon Johnson has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 9thworst in in the league on the road with only 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Keon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production across the board.

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