Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 18, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Nets rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
Keon Johnson has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Nets.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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