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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Keon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has made 43.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Keon Johnson has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.4 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.

The Nets check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.

The Nets are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 23 games (the Heat).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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