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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Assists
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Keon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keon Johnson has compiled 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.1 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.
  • Keon Johnson has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.4 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.
  • The Nets are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 23 games (the Heat).
  • Keon Johnson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keon Johnson has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).
  • The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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