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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has posted 3.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.

Keon Ellis has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Keon Ellis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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