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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Keon Ellis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has compiled a terrific 1.3 defensive boards per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.3 defensive boards per game last year.

Keon Ellis has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 10.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

The Kings are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Keon Ellis will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.

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