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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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