reorder

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 48.4% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Keon Ellis has made 41.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).

The Kings check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5).

The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 7th-slowest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Phoenix Suns).

Keon Ellis is expected to see a decline in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

Keon Ellis PointsPlayer Prop - 10/22/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 10/22/2025