My Account Log Out

reorder

Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Keon Ellis has converted 47.5% of his three-point shots while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Keon Ellis has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 8.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

With respect to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's terrific 118.6 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 8th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™