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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 29.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

In regard to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's excellent 115.9 points per game ranks 10th-best in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2).

The Kings are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pistons).

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Keon Ellis will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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