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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's played over the course of the season.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Washington is a good one; when the Wizards are at home, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.8).

The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) against the Wizards, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Kings have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has failed to make 0.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's missed over the course of the year.

Keon Ellis is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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