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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 55.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing on the road.

Keon Ellis has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have shot 42.3% on threes (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Magic, marking this as a positive matchup.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league on the road with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Keon Ellis has sunk 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season.

In terms of three-pointers, the Kings's unimpressive 33.5% rate of drained threes while playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Magic).

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, struggling to draw fouls.

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