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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 57.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year at home.

The matchup against the Celtics is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing at home.

Keon Ellis ought to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.

The 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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