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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 61.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Keon Ellis has averaged 27.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The 9th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the NBA while at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 12.1 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

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