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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2025

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has sunk 61.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.1% more than he's converted overall this year while at home.

Keon Ellis has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league as the home team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this season.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, resulting in a tough matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Kings.

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