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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 60.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year while playing at home.

Keon Ellis has played 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

When it comes to offense, the Kings's exceptional 119.0 points per game measures as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (best in the league) against the Spurs, branding this as a favorable matchup.

The Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point shots.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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