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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Keon Ellis has played 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.6 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road.

The Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Ellis has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the road team this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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