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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing away from home.

Keon Ellis has averaged 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to three-point shots, the Kings's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Keon Ellis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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