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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has made 60.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.7% more than he's made overall this year on his home court.

Keon Ellis has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made in all games this season.

Keon Ellis has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied overall this season.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.5 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, labeling this as a positive matchup.

The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The number of shots from the field against Nick Smith Jr. has been quite low (11.3 per game) when defending opposing starting SGs this year (3rd percentile).

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.

Over the last 23 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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