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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 54.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Keon Ellis has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's played overall this season.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to threes, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 32.6% rate of sunk threes away from their home court comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

The Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Keon Ellis stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

More Keon Ellis Player Props

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