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Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

Keon Ellis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Ellis has converted 2.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for threes; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3).

The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

Keon Ellis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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